Prediction Markets

Propose a market
How prediction markets work Hide tips Show tips

Back your read on real-world events. In pool markets a winning stake comes back in full, plus its share of what the losing side staked, less a small rake taken from that losing side only (none on a market marked No house fee); in order-book markets each winning share pays 1.00.

1

Pick an outcome

Choose a market and the result you think will happen - for example YES or NO.

2

Back it with a stake

In a pool market you stake into your outcome's pot. In an order-book market you buy shares priced 0.01 to 0.99, where the price is the market-implied chance.

3

Get paid if you are right

In a pool market you get your stake back plus a share of what the losing side staked. In an order-book market each winning share pays 1.00.

How prediction markets work: the complete guide

Propose your own market and earn from its activity if it goes live.

Please rotate your device to portrait to play.