Will the winning pumpkin at Half Moon Bay weigh 2,411 pounds or more?
The Safeway World Championship Pumpkin Weigh-Off is held in Half Moon Bay, California on Monday 12 October 2026. Resolves Yes if the official weight of the winning pumpkin is 2,411 pounds or more. 2,410 pounds or less resolves No. Settled from the official results at https://hmbweighoff.com, then from the Half Moon Bay Art and Pumpkin Festival, then from the Associated Press or the San Francisco Chronicle. If the weigh-off is postponed beyond 31 October 2026 or cancelled, the market is voided and every stake refunded.
House position: the operator set this market up and may take a side in it. Any operator stake is placed as The Sheriff and is real money on the same terms as yours - it wins or loses with the pool, gets no better odds, and is settled by the rules above like every other stake.
Share of pot over time iHow each outcome's share of the staked pot has moved, in the pot currency shown on the board. A bigger share means more of the pot is on that side - and a smaller payout multiplier if it wins.
Pots by currency iEach currency is a separate pot, with its own odds, and it settles separately. You can join the pots your site offers, and we show the rest so you can see the whole market.
- USD 0 pot No stake yet available here
- LOL 0 pot No stake yet available here
The largest stakes placed in this currency pot, per outcome. After the result, winning and losing stakes both stay on the board.
All your stakes in this market, across every currency. Each currency is a separate pot and settles separately.
Pool iStake into the outcome you think will win. Winners split the entire pot, with no operator rake on this market. Your stake stays locked until the market settles, and there is no cash-out.
Each currency is a separate pot, with its own odds, and it settles separately.
-
YES 0Your stake: 0
No stake yet
-
NO 0Your stake: 0
No stake yet
Total pot:
0
· No house rake on this market - the winning side shares the whole pot.
Pays figures are the total returned per 1 staked, your stake included. They move with every stake and lock when betting closes.
Your stakes iYour stakes in this market, per outcome and currency: what an open stake would pay at the pools as they stand, and the result once the market settles. We pay winnings when the market settles.
You have no stakes in this market yet.
How this market pays
How this market pays. Every stake on the same outcome goes into that outcome's pot, and each currency is settled separately.
When the result is confirmed, the winning side takes the whole pot in that currency and we split it in proportion to what each player staked, so you get your winning stake back in full plus its share of what the losing side staked. The platform rake is 0% of the losing side's stakes.
We never take it from a winner's own stake, so you cannot lose money on a winning bet. In three cases we return the money instead of paying it out: if the market is VOIDED, every stake is refunded in full; if nobody backed the winning outcome in a currency, every stake in that currency is refunded in full; and if nobody took the other side, every stake is refunded in full and no rake is taken.
After we confirm the result we hold winnings pending for 24 hours, the dispute window. When it closes we credit them to your balance.
How prediction markets work · Full prediction market terms · Adjudication log
